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The NBA Player Models are the lifeblood of our NBA product. They home our projections for every participant, however that’s only the start of what you’ll discover inside. You’ll additionally discover our Trends tool and a lot extra.
Let’s dive into our fashions, going position-by-position, guys with a few of the highest Ceiling Projections, together with gamers who’re standing out as values with our predictive Projected Plus/Minus metric.
Additionally, don’t neglect that for large-field tournaments, you may make the most of our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create as much as 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder should you prefer to hand-build your groups.
Notice: Projections and Leverages Scores/Rankings could change all through the day after this text is posted. Seek the advice of the Player Models straight for any updates.
Level Guard
Prime Ceiling: Stephen Curry vs. Philadelphia 76ers – $11,400 DraftKings, $10,500 FanDuel
After a one-game absence associated to a hip harm, Curry returned Sunday to submit an uncharacteristic dud of simply 12 factors and eight dimes. In six video games prior? These numbers are a bit higher.
Within the six video games previous to his absence, Curry averaged a whopping 36.0 factors, 7.0 dimes, 5.5 rebounds, 2.2 steals, and seven.0 made threes for almost 60 fantasy factors per contest. The over/below on tonight’s slate sits at a modest 218.5.
Prime Worth: Cory Joseph at Milwaukee Bucks – $4,400 DraftKings, $4,100 FanDuel
With Killian Hayes (thumb) out for at the least yet another recreation, Joseph ought to see loads of minutes but once more. Over his final 4 video games (together with begins in every of the Pistons’ final two), Joseph has averaged 10.0 factors, 5.8 dimes, 3.3 boards, and 1.8 swipes.
He’s averaged higher than 25 fantasy factors per recreation within the aforementioned span, and he will get the good thing about a constructive Tempo Differential and Opponent Plus/Minus. He’s projected for at the least a +7.0 Plus/Minus and 6.3 Factors/Wage on each websites and makes among the best salary-saving choices on the slate.
Capturing Guard
Prime Ceiling: Dejounte Murray vs. Atlanta Hawks – $9,600 DraftKings, $9,700 FanDuel
Murray has logged two triple-doubles and missed one by only one help in three of his final 4 video games. In that span, he’s scored at the least 57 fantasy factors thrice. He’s bought three triple-doubles on the season and has approached that mark at the least half a dozen instances extra.
The younger guard is rising as a star and a DFS darling for his potential to stuff the stat sheet regularly. Tonight’s 220.5 over/below is the third-highest on the slate, and Murray will get the good thing about a constructive Opponent Plus/Minus. He’s a pleasant pivot from extra common choices like Steph Curry, James Harden, or Russell Westbrook.
Notice: Murray is eligible at PG on DraftKings and PG/SG on FanDuel
Prime Worth: R.J. Hampton vs. Charlotte Hornets – $4,900 DraftKings, $5,700 FanDuel
Cole Anthony will miss his third straight recreation as a consequence of an ankle harm, and Garry Harris is questionable as a consequence of a hand harm. In the meantime, Hampton is within the midst of his greatest stretch of the season, having averaged 16.5 factors, 7.0 assists, 6.5 rebounds, 3.0 triples, and 1.5 steals throughout 29.5 minutes.
Tonight’s matchup presents a pace-up spot for the Magic towards a Hornets workforce ranked third in tempo. Each groups are ranked within the bottom-10 in defensive ranking, which means there ought to be loads of fantasy factors to go round for each groups.
Small Ahead
Prime Ceiling: Jayson Tatum vs. Brooklyn Nets – $10,100 DraftKings, $10,000 FanDuel
Tatum is scorching sizzling proper now, as he’s scored at the least 30 factors in 4 straight video games, averaging 30.0 factors, 8.5 rebounds, 3.8 assists, 4.0 threes, and a couple of.1 mixed blocks/steals in that span.
It’s no shock that Boston has is on a three-game win streak due to Tatum’s great play, and the Celtics have received their final three by a mean of 15.3 factors. Boston will want Tatum to be superhuman as soon as once more to beat the NBA’s main scorer in Kevin Durant (28.5 PPG) and a former scoring champ in James Harden (20.8 PPG).
The Celtics are simply 1.5-point favorites in what’s positive to be a incredible matchup. Pay up for Tatum right here.
Prime Worth: Cody Martin at Orlando Magic – $3,400 DraftKings, $4,700 FanDuel
On the season, the third-year wing has averaged profession highs in minutes (24.8), factors (7.8), rebounds (4.4), mixed blocks/steals (1.8), and triples (0.9), however his value stays fairly low, significantly on DraftKings, the place his worth is highest.
Martin has scored at the least 27 fantasy factors in two of his final three video games and three of his final 5. He’ll look to maintain the great instances rollin’ tonight towards a Magic workforce ranked twenty ninth in defensive ranking.
Notice: Martin is eligible at SG/SF on DraftKings and SG on FanDuel
Energy Ahead
Prime Ceiling: Kevin Durant at Boston Celtics – $11,200 DraftKings, $10,300 FanDuel
Giannis Antetokounmpo has a better projected ceiling than Durant, although Milwaukee’s matchup with the Pistons has the Bucks favored by 14.5, the most important unfold on the slate. That would result in some downtime for the reigning Finals MVP. As an alternative, we’ll pivot to Durant, whose Nets are 1.5-point underdogs to the Celtics.
Durant is the NBA’s main scorer, and he’ll should be on his recreation dealing with a Celtics squad on a three-game successful streak due to Jayson Tatum’s blistering offense.
Prime Worth: Jarred Vanderbilt vs. Miami Warmth – $4,600 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel
Vandy has began the final seven video games for Minnesota, although he’s been on fairly a roll over his final three contests. In that span, he’s averaged 9 factors, 11 rebounds, two assists, and three mixed blocks/steals whereas scoring at the least 28 fantasy factors in each contest.
His value stays reasonably priced on each websites, particularly given his current manufacturing on each ends of the court docket. He’s significantly useful due to his contributions within the prized defensive classes.
Heart
Prime Ceiling: Rudy Gobert at Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder – $8,700 DraftKings, $8,800 FanDuel
Oklahoma Metropolis has yielded the eighth-most fantasy factors, third-most blocks, and third-most rebounds to opposing facilities this season. The Thunder are among the best matchups for opposing bigs, and Gobert naturally has a excessive ceiling tonight.
As if his career-high 14.9 rebounds and propensity for blocks wasn’t attractive sufficient, Gobert is coming off a 23/13 recreation with 5 swats tying a season-best in factors, and the primary time all season he’s scored at the least 20 in back-to-back contests. His value is kind of pleasant, given his great upside.
Prime Worth: Hassan Whiteside at Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder – $4,100 DraftKings, $4,600 FanDuel
If Gobert didn’t do it for you, let’s double down on the Jazz together with his highly-efficient backup. Identical to Gobert listed above him, Whiteside will get the good thing about a highly-favorable matchup with the Thunder. Not like Gobert, nonetheless, Whiteside may even see a bump in minutes tonight if the sport will get out of hand.
Utah is favored by 12.5 factors, the second-highest unfold of the slate behind solely Milwaukee’s 14.5 factors over Detroit. If the Jazz are up large late, Whiteside might see some extra taking part in time. Any increase in minutes could be large for the veteran heart, as he’s averaged 1.26 DraftKings factors and 1.27 FanDuel factors per minute this season, eighth-highest and sixth-highest amongst facilities on these slates, respectively.
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