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It is that point of yr once more, NBA followers.
The time for unfettered optimism, wishful pondering, and daydreams that finish with confetti falling and championship parades.
“That is the yr,” you inform your self. Absolutely, every thing will fall into place.
Each free agent signing. Each draft choose. Each extension. Each teaching change. Every little thing!
And so that is the mentality Sporting Information takes into the primary weekly energy rankings of the 2021-22 season. We’re placing on homer glasses with rosy shades for all 30 groups to spell out the best-case situation, inside motive — if not just a little far-fetched!
MORE: The top 50 storylines to watch this season
Sure, the very nature of Energy Rankings signifies that somebody is first and somebody is final and everybody will yell about one group being too excessive or too low. And sure, there will probably be loads of alternatives for making the case about one group over one other. However doing so typically requires beating another person down, and we’re not doing that in the present day.
Three fast notes earlier than leaping in:
- Simply because a group’s best-case situation ends with it hoisting the Larry O’Brien Trophy, does not imply we’re saying it is more likely to occur or predicting it to occur.
- We’re not basing any situation off of accidents to different gamers. We’re neither medical doctors nor fortune tellers, and we’re not taking place that street.
- There are groups increased up within the rankings with decrease ceilings than groups under them. Do I consider the Hawks can win an NBA title? No. Do I consider they’re higher than the Warmth? Sure. Do I consider the Warmth can win an NBA title? Sure. Does any of this make sense? Possibly not.
Onto the rankings.
(All odds and projected win totals are courtesy of FanDuel)
1. Brooklyn Nets
- Odds to win NBA title: +230
- Vegas over/underneath: 56.5
There’s an opportunity we’re underrating the Nets.
“Underrated? What on earth are you speaking about, Micah? They’re already the heavy title favorites and we actually simply noticed their season torpedoed by well being. They’re correctly rated!”
OK … honest. However that is all in regards to the glass half full. What if Kevin Durant continues his tour de power and emphatically snatches the “finest participant” belt? What if James Harden uncorks one other MVP-caliber season and finishes second behind solely his teammate? What if Kyrie Irving places an finish to the COVID vaccination histrionics and is out there for all 82?
There is a world during which the Nets hit 70 wins after which romp by way of the playoffs just like the 2001 Lakers. When it is all mentioned and accomplished, this might be one of many really traditionally important groups.
MORE: Circle these 10 can’t miss dates on the NBA calendar
2. Milwaukee Bucks
- Odds to win NBA title: +850
- Vegas over/underneath: 55.5
The final time we noticed Giannis Antetokounmpo, he went full Tremendous Saiyan and unleashed a 50-spot to clinch the NBA title. By the top of the 2021 NBA Finals, it grew to become crystal clear he merely went to a different stage and that no person may cease him.
Blissful Gilmore discovered how you can putt and Giannis discovered how you can make free throws. What if he sustains that over 82 video games?
The Greek Freak may win a 3rd MVP after which silence anybody clueless sufficient to stay naysayers by battling by way of a totally wholesome Nets and totally wholesome Lakers squads. In contrast to this previous yr — when the Bucks inched previous a snake-bitten Nets, caught the Hawks as an alternative of the 76ers, after which the Suns as an alternative of the Lakers — taking the toughest path doable in the direction of back-to-back titles would take away all doubt and any point out of the dreaded “a-word” from the 2021 title.
3. Los Angeles Lakers
- Odds to win NBA title: 53.5
- Vegas over/underneath: +400
Shut your eyes and it is fairly simple to think about.
LeBron James — in Yr 19 — turns into the oldest MVP in league historical past and snags his fifth Maurice Podoloff Trophy. Anthony Davis performs greater than 75 video games for the primary time in his profession and snags Defensive Participant of the Yr. Russell Westbrook strings collectively an All-NBA season and casually buries broad open jumpers within the playoffs as groups dare him to shoot. To prime all of it off, Carmelo Anthony hits the game-winning shot off a superb feed from James with 3 seconds left in Sport 7 of the NBA Finals to win his first title in opposition to Durant’s Nets.
The jokes about outdated age grow to be, properly, outdated, and changed by admiration for Rob Pelinka’s shrewd capacity to position educated, playoff-tested veterans who can see the sport as LeBron does.
MORE: LeBron shares his thoughts on NBA players and the COVID vaccine
4. Phoenix Suns
- Odds to win NBA title: +1400
- Vegas over/underneath: 50.5
Because it seems, the Suns are simply getting began.
Devin Booker wins the scoring title, Deandre Ayton supplants Rudy Gobert because the third All-NBA middle alongside Joel Embiid and Nikola Jokic, and Chris Paul racks up a 3rd straight top-10 MVP end. Phoenix not solely proves the unlikely run to the NBA Finals was no fluke, but in addition ups the ante by doing it once more, this time in opposition to a wholesome subject of worthy opponents. In reality, they beat the identical groups, albeit in a special order:
- Nuggets within the first spherical with Jamal Murray again within the lineup? Suns in 5.
- Clippers within the second spherical with Kawhi Leonard wanting spry for each recreation? Suns in 5.
- LeBron James and Anthony Davis roaring all cylinders and 8-0 coming into the WCF? Suns in six.
- Giannis and associates in an NBA Finals rematch? Suns in six.
5. Utah Jazz
- Odds to win NBA title: +1400
- Vegas over/underneath: 53.5
If the Bucks can rewrite historical past and lift a banner on the heels of perennial underachievement, so can the Jazz.
Quin Snyder finds a method to unleash the France model of Rudy Gobert on the offensive finish. A lot to the delight of #JazzTwitter, Gobert turns into excess of Mr. Display Help and Dr. Rim Run, as Utah lastly begins punishing groups for taking part in small and switching. Donovan Mitchell ramps up the effectivity, and all of these 2014 Spurs comparisons come speeding again in.
The Jazz are gifted sufficient to win the NBA title, and this time, they do it. Rating one other one for small markets because the Jazz roll by way of Golden State, each LA groups after which Brooklyn to do one thing that Karl Malone and John Stockton by no means may.
6. Dallas Mavericks
- Odds to win NBA title: +2700
- Vegas over/underneath: 48.5
In his fourth yr, a 22-year-old coming off the primary of many First-Staff All-NBA seasons — flanked by a slow-footed, towering European large man and a heat-cheat two-guard in his late 20s — carries a talent-deprived group all the way in which to the NBA Finals. No person sees it coming, but the wunderkind dazzles in upsets of far-more gifted contenders.
15 years after LeBron James put collectively his first legendary prolonged playoff push alongside Zydrunas Ilgauskas and Larry Hughes on the 2007 Cavs, Luka Doncic recreates historical past with Kristaps Porzingis and Tim Hardaway Jr.
MORE: Why Luka’s new contract puts the Mavs in win-now mode
In contrast to LeBron, Luka does not lose. After profitable the MVP after which ousting James by scoring his group’s ultimate 25 factors in a virtuoso Convention finals efficiency, Doncic delivers on the largest stage and brings a second title again to Dallas.
7. Denver Nuggets
- Odds to win NBA title: +2000
- Vegas over/underneath: 47.5
The reigning MVP is the final word floor-raiser who makes everybody else round him higher. No Jamal Murray within the common season? No drawback. Nikola Jokic tosses up a 26-12-10 season and brings dwelling a second straight MVP award as Denver finishes with a top-three document. Michael Porter Jr. turns into a constant 25-a-night bucket and wins Most Improved Participant. Aaron Gordon proves price each penny of that extension, and Murray returns in March with 15 video games to get squared away.
Keep in mind that stretch final yr when Denver seemed like probably the most full group within the NBA? Yeah, that model is again, and the Nuggets emerge from the West. They run into Joel Embiid within the Finals the place Jokic goes full “Hakeem on Shaq in the 95 Finals” and proves as soon as and for all that he is the most effective middle within the league.
8. Atlanta Hawks
- Odds to win NBA title: +4000
- Vegas over/underneath: 46.5
Trae Younger tapped into some critical Reggie Miller vitality along with his evisceration of the Knicks in final yr’s playoffs. He is again for extra, and firmly cements his standing as Atlanta’s licensed MBP, most ballinest participant. John Collins secures the bag and rewards Atlanta’s religion by incomes his first journey to the All-Star recreation, whereas Deandre Hunter stays wholesome and flashes critical shades of 2014 Kawhi.
The Hawks make a return journey to the Japanese Convention finals, the place they run into the Nets. Younger goes toe-to-toe with Durant, Harden, and Irving and forces a Sport 7 earlier than finally developing brief. After the season, Darren Rovell tweets out the NBA’s hottest jersey gross sales that includes Younger atop the listing.
9. Miami Warmth
- Odds to win NBA title: +2400
- Vegas over/underneath: 48.5
Pat Riley does it once more.
Kyle Lowry exhibits his championship mettle by someway ratcheting up Warmth tradition to an much more preposterous pedestal. Jimmy Butler rediscovers his bubble superstardom and Bam Adebayo continues his evolution into the right large for the trendy recreation. Holding the important thing to all of it? Tyler Herro. Look, there is a world during which Herro makes 4 All-Star groups and there is a world during which he is a rotation chucker off the bench. On this model of the Warmth Matrix, Herro torches nets and provides Miami simply sufficient offensive juice to energy by way of everybody. Udonis Haslem subs in with 24 seconds left within the clincher and firmly clutches the ball in his arms as the ultimate buzzer sounds.
10. Golden State Warriors
- Odds to win NBA title: +1300
- Vegas over/underneath: 47.5
There isn’t any wider hole between ground and ceiling than Golden State, who might be No. 1 or 24 in these energy rankings come April.
Golden State is counting on various items to hit in particular roles. If we’re REALLY getting hopped on the Warriors kool-aid, let’s discuss in regards to the clear sweep:
- Stephen Curry for MVP? Test.
- Draymond Inexperienced for Defensive Participant of the Yr? Test.
- Klay Thompson for Sixth Man of the Yr? Test.
- James Wiseman for Most Improved? Test.
- Jonathan Kuminga for Rookie of the Yr? Test.
- Andrew Wiggins for NBA Cares Neighborhood Help Award? Why not!
The Warriors are again to being the Warriors and shoot themselves to a fourth NBA title. Curry lastly will get his Finals MVP.
11. LA Clippers
- Odds to win NBA title: +2000
- Vegas over/underneath: 45.5
Bear in mind when Paul George type of hung across the MVP dialog in OKC earlier than ending third in 2019? With Kawhi out, that occurs once more. Let’s be actual… he cannot win it, so he is not really within the MVP dialog. However he is on the rostrum.
Anyway, Eric Bledsoe enjoys a renaissance season again in LA and Reggie Jackson — who averaged 21.4 factors per recreation on 48 p.c capturing over his ultimate eight playoff video games — rides that heater all through all the season. Someway, the Clips snag the No. 4 seed after which welcome again Kawhi Leonard into the fold.
Had Kawhi not gotten damage, there’s an opportunity they win the title in 2021. If he comes again and he is feeling spry, there is not any motive why they cannot win it in 2022.
12. Philadelphia 76ers
- Odds to win NBA title: +1800
- Vegas over/underneath: 51.5
Extremely, Daryl Morey will get his motherload for Ben Simmons. The Path Blazers begin 5-10 — forcing Damian Lillard to demand a commerce — and Morey lastly will get his man. Outdated Takes Uncovered has a subject day and Morey retweets 100 consecutive anti-Sixers jokes in jest. Joel Embiid will get off to a different MVP-type begin, however this time doesn’t get damage. He wins the MVP and extra importantly, Philly morphs into the title group we’ve all been ready for. The 76ers sq. off in opposition to the Clippers within the NBA Finals and Doc Rivers will get his revenge. Hours earlier than Lillard goes full Dame Time to win it down the stretch of Sport 7, Simmons posts one other offseason exercise video to Instagram.
MORE: What happens if Simmons simply doesn’t show up?
13. Boston Celtics
- Odds to win NBA title: +4900
- Vegas over/underneath: 45.5
Jayson Tatum turns into the first player in Celtics history to common 30 factors per recreation, and Jaylen Brown completes his transformation into Paul George 2.0. Marcus Sensible stops taking part in “NBA Jam” and in a single day turns into allergic to ill-advised warmth checks. Is there a path for Sensible to make a late-20s Kyle Lowry-type of leap into stardom? There’s on this column, child! Timelord turns into greater than an attractive per-36 minute stud and gives Boston with some much-needed measurement.
There’s not fairly sufficient firepower to hoist the Larry O’Brien, however the Celtics reemerge as a respectable title contender. They lose to Brooklyn, however Celtics followers take solace in the truth that Sensible fully shuts down Kyrie Irving, who averages 8.7 factors on 17 p.c capturing for the sequence.
14. Portland Path Blazers
- Odds to win NBA title: +8000
- Vegas over/underneath: 44.5
We have seen this film earlier than … type of.
The Blazers as soon as once more garner a third-place end within the rough-and-tumble West and make it to the Convention finals. Damian Lillard turns into Portland’s first MVP winner since Invoice Walton in 1978, and CJ McCollum makes his first All-Star group. The place this story differs from the previous is that, this time, the Blazers even have a puncher’s probability. They take a 2-1 lead on the Lakers and are minutes away from going up 3-1 earlier than LeBron does LeBron issues and hits one other playoff buzzer-beater. The Blazers lose and nonetheless aren’t a Finals group — however do sufficient for Dame to remain.
15. New York Knicks
- Odds to win NBA title: +10000
- Vegas over/underneath: 41.5
Rinse and repeat with 2020-21, solely this time Julius Randle exhibits up within the playoffs. Kemba Walker thrives within the Backyard and goes shot-for-shot with Trae Younger for a wildly entertaining and raucous seven-game sequence. Spike Lee co-hosts pre-game “SportsCenter” with Stephen A. Smith, then will get ejected after a third-quarter tiff with Younger. The Backyard crowd goes completely bananas and the Knicks make it out of the primary spherical for under the second time in twenty years. Although they lose within the second spherical, one other yr of competence results in Bradley Beal selecting the Knicks in free company.
16. Chicago Bulls
- Odds to win NBA title: +7000
- Vegas over/underneath: 42.5
All of it comes collectively. Zach LaVine graduates from first-time All-Star to bonafide All-NBA stalwart, Nikola Vucevic reemerges as 24-10 machine whereas Lonzo Ball and DeMar DeRozan slot in seamlessly. Chicago finishes with the most effective offense within the NBA and it defends properly sufficient underneath the path of Billy Donovan that it makes a shock run to the Convention finals. LaVine re-signs, Patrick Williams turns right into a 94-foot menace and immediately the Bulls seem on the verge of true competition coming into 2022-23.
17. Indiana Pacers
- Odds to win NBA title: +11000
- Vegas over/underneath: 42.5
Is teaching horny? In 49 states, the reply is unequivocally no. However that is Indiana, the land of Bobby Knight and Norman Dale.
And Rick Carlisle, who proves that elite teaching really does make all of the distinction. Carlisle makes all of Indiana’s seemingly mismatched puzzle items match collectively. All of that Sabonis-Turner discuss? Gone. The Warren-LeVert your flip, my flip act? Fizzled. Malcolm Brogdon proves to be the right high-IQ two-way level guard that executes Carlisle’s imaginative and prescient to perfection. Indiana wins two rounds earlier than bowing out to Brooklyn. Not sufficient expertise to make a real title run, however Carlisle’s Coach of the Yr magic ends Indiana’s streak of underwhelming first-round exits.
18. Memphis Grizzlies
- Odds to win NBA title: +8500
- Vegas over/underneath: 40.5
Ja Morant makes the leap and takes his place alongside Stephen Curry, Damian Lillard, Chris Paul, and Russell Westbrook on the level guard grown-ups desk. Jaren Jackson Jr. stops fouling lengthy sufficient to truly faucet into his immense potential. Steven Adams reinvigorates the grit-and-grind mentality. On Tony Allen’s jersey retirement evening, Memphis wins 79-77 with Dillon Brooks taking a game-saving cost. Memphis wins the No. 7 seed, avenges final yr’s loss to Utah after which drops a heart-breaker to Phoenix within the second spherical.
19. New Orleans Pelicans
- Odds to win NBA title: +10000
- Vegas over/underneath: 38.5
All of that simmering pressure in New Orleans dissipates as Zion comes out of the gates displaying no sick results from his offseason foot surgical procedure. He performs all 82 video games and makes Second-Staff All-NBA whereas Brandon Ingram joins Williamson as an All-Star. The Pelicans win a playoff sequence and the Zion-AD comparisons are put to mattress for at the least one other 4 years.
MORE: What Zion’s offseason foot surgery means for New Orleans in 2021-22
20. Toronto Raptors
- Odds to win NBA title: +12000
- Vegas over/underneath: 36.5
If Masai Ujiri thinks he has sufficient, he’ll push the chips into the center of the desk. So do not be fully shocked if someway Simmons, Beal, Lillard or another big-name star on the lookout for a brand new dwelling results in The Six. That mentioned, Toronto sits patiently and performs the lengthy recreation in 2022. Fred VanVleet flirts with making the All-Star group, Pascal Siakam returns from his damage sooner than anticipated, OG Anunoby lastly — FINALLY — takes that long-awaited leap on offense, and Scottie Barnes proves to be a dangerous draft day dwelling run.
This can be a group that performs chess, not checkers. So whereas a playoff look is good, Ujiri finally makes use of 2021-22 to arrange a masterstroke subsequent summer season.
21. Charlotte Hornets
- Odds to win NBA title: +12000
- Vegas over/underneath: 37.5
Michael Jordan pulls a stunner, flipping Miles Bridges and Gordon Hayward for Ben Simmons. The mixture of Simmons and LaMelo Ball combo brings a Showtime East really feel to the Queen Metropolis. The Hornets win the 7 seed after which face off in opposition to Philly within the first spherical. Simmons takes over late within the fourth quarter on Philly’s dwelling ground and dunks on Joel Embiid to present the Sixers a five-point lead with 90 seconds left. The Sixers play Hack-A-Simmons and he responds by going 7-7 and shushing the Philly trustworthy.
22. Washington Wizards
- Odds to win NBA title: +10000
- Vegas over/underneath: 34.5
Bradley Beal indicators an extension and meshes with Spencer Dinwiddle, who proves to be the right match. A motivated Montrezl Harrell exhibits up and rekindles his Sixth Man of the Yr manufacturing from the Clippers. Maybe extra importantly, the youngsters hit with Deni Avdija, Rui Hachimura and newcomer Corey Kispert all displaying actual progress. Washington squeaks into the play-in because the No. 10 seed however then wins back-to-back street video games to make it in. They push the Nets to seven within the first spherical with Dinwiddle completely outplaying Irving.
23. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Odds to win NBA title: +19000
- Vegas over/underneath: 33.5
After two painstaking years of countless grief and private heartbreak, Karl-Anthony Cities finds peace and uncorks his finest season but. The remainder of the roster rallies round Cities with each D’Angelo Russell and Anthony Edwards turning the nook as foundational complementary gamers. Using Cities, the Wolves sneak into the play-in after which win a pair of video games to advance in an final feel-good story. Minnesota is again on observe with the longer term as soon as once more pointing in the correct path.
24. Cleveland Cavaliers
- Odds to win NBA title: +25000
- Vegas over/underneath: 27.5
Essentially the most optimistic Cavs followers see a group on the cusp of playoff competition. They think about Evan Mobley operating away with Rookie of the Yr in a loaded class. They think about SexLand combining to attain greater than 45 factors per recreation. They think about newly minted $100 million greenback man Jarett Allen main the league in blocks. They think about Lauri Markkanen rediscovering his stroke and contending for Sixth Man of the Yr. If all of that occurs, then perhaps — simply perhaps — Cleveland has sufficient horses to earn a playoff spot in a immediately deep Japanese Convention.
(As an apart: The 2022 All-Star weekend in Cleveland might be probably the most memorable and goosebump-inducing one ever with the introduction of the NBA’s 75 Biggest Gamers).
MORE: Odds to win Rookie of the Year
25. Sacramento Kings
- Odds to win NBA title: +24000
- Vegas over/underneath: 35.5
Sacramento has missed the playoffs 15 straight years, tied for the longest streak in NBA historical past. The Kings discover a taker for Buddy Hield. That opens up extra time for Tyrese Haliburton and Davion Mitchell, who thrive taking part in subsequent to De’Aaron Fox. Sick and bored with the Luka Doncic jokes, Marvin Bagley lastly faucets into his immense potential and transforms right into a bankable 20-10 ahead with a dependable jumper and satisfactory protection. Because of this, the streak lastly ends! Earlier than the opening tip of their first dwelling playoff recreation in 16 years, the Kings welcome out Chris Webber, Mike Bibby and Peja Stojakovic, who whip the gang right into a frenzy. They steal Sport 3 in opposition to the Lakers and for one evening, occasion prefer it’s 2002.
26. San Antonio Spurs
- Odds to win NBA title: +10000
- Vegas over/underneath: 29.5
Because it stands proper now, there may be not a single, surefire constructing block on the roster. Possibly the Spurs unearth a foundational keeper from the pool of Dejounte Murray, Derrick White, Keldon Johnson, Lonnie Walker IV, and Joshua Primo. With DeMar DeRozan now in Chicago, somebody has to step up, and there will probably be loads of photographs to go round.
Taking inventory of San Antonio’s cabinet makes you marvel the place it goes from right here. The reply? Rolling the cube on Ben Simmons.
The Spurs have Chip Engelland on employees who is maybe the single-best capturing coach in all the world, and the one individual finest suited to repair Simmons. San Antonio can supply Philadelphia a rotation’s price of excellent gamers and maybe Daryl Morey will get determined sufficient to go for it. No matter wins and losses, that is the kind of transfer that may finally speed up the rebuild in San Antonio.
For a group looking for an identification, strolling out of this season with one counts as an enormous win.
27. Detroit Pistons
- Odds to win NBA title: +25000
- Vegas over/underneath: 23.5
Cade Cunningham brings some critical “Brandon Roy, however higher” potential to the desk. For a group that hasn’t had a First-Staff All-NBA choice since Grant Hill within the mid-90s, Cunningham may present the high-voltage star that Pistons followers have longed for. From the leap, Cunningham places the entire bag of methods on show and matches in seamlessly alongside Jerami Grant, Killian Hayes, Isaiah Stewart and Saddiq Bey. Not solely does Cunningham examine each field, but in addition brings probably the most out of Hayes, who many in Detroit feared is perhaps a bust after the seventh total choose within the 2020 draft struggled mightily as a rookie. It is Cunningham or bust for the Pistons, and the best-case situation past wins and losses is establishing him as an authorized superstar-in-training.
MORE: This one play showcases why Cunningham will be a star
28. Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder
- Odds to win NBA title: +25000
- Vegas over/underneath: 21.5
Here is what issues proper now in OKC:
- Buying as many first-round picks as humanly doable
- Molding Shai Gilgeous-Alexander right into a respectable MVP-type of famous person
Here is all the listing of gamers 22 or youthful to common greater than 23 factors per recreation, whereas capturing 50 p.c from the sphere and 40 p.c from three:
SGA, in 2020-21.
That is it. That is the listing.
He retains getting higher in his fourth yr, whereas rookie Josh Giddey flirts with profitable Rookie of the Yr. OKC loses a ton of video games and wins the lottery. As well as, the Clippers collapse with out Kawhi Leonard and miss the playoffs. Why does that matter right here? As a result of the Thunder personal their unprotected first-round choose in 2022. The ping pong balls bounce in Sam Presti’s favor and the Thunder waltz into subsequent summer season’s draft with a pair of top-three picks.
29. Houston Rockets
- Odds to win NBA title: +25000
- Vegas over/underneath: 27,5
Change his title to Jalen Greenlight, as a result of that is all of the rookie guard will see in 2021-22.
Do you know the final rookie to common 25 factors per recreation was some dude named Michael Jordan? With the greenest of lights, that is precisely what Jalen Inexperienced does as he turns into a League Cross darling. Inexperienced emerges as the most effective participant in a loaded draft and, though the Rockets lose a ton of video games, they cross the 82-game end line 100% assured that they’ve discovered the long-term alternative for James Harden.
30. Orlando Magic
- Odds to win NBA title: +25000
- Vegas over/underneath: 21.5
Jalen Suggs energizes the Magic in methods they have not seen since Tracy McGrady. Certain, Dwight Howard introduced the Magic to the Finals, however he by no means really owned the town and reworked the Magic right into a must-see outfit. With the fifth total choose, Orlando finally nabs the most effective participant within the draft because the Suggs revenge tour will get off to a rolicking begin and by no means lets up. Jonathan Isaac stays wholesome and re-enters the DPOY dialog whereas one among Wendell Carter and Mo Bamba lastly places all of it collectively. Suggs fully transforms the Magic in a single day and immediately, Orlando emits some greater than faint hope.
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