Men’s singles forecast and predictions featuring Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, Stefanos Tsitsipas and the other contenders

Novak Djokovic can be aiming for historical past when he steps on to the Arthur Ashe Area this week. There’s the prospect of an unprecedented twenty first Main title, so as to add to the headline-making alternative of finishing a Calendar Slam. Together with his two best rivals not that includes on this yr’s version of the US Open, many imagine there may be nothing that may preserve the Serb from conquering all of it.

In actuality, nevertheless, the energy of the sphere is not essentially decided by the variety of Majors the gamers have received. So whereas the draw may be disadvantaged of 40 Slams – acquired collectively by Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal – there are nonetheless fairly a number of names who can problem for the title.

In actual fact, it’s the new era gamers which have been the prime challengers to Novak Djokovic in 2021. The quartet of Daniil Medvedev, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Alexander Zverev and Andrey Rublev even contested the semifinals of the just lately concluded Cincinnati Masters as the highest 4 seeds.

As an apart, the US Open hasn’t been too pleasant in the direction of its defending champion in latest instances. However Dominic Thiem does not have to fret about that as he has already pulled out resulting from harm. 2016 champion Stan Wawrinka has performed the identical, whereas 2014 champion Marin Cilic is a shadow of his former self.

So contemplating the gamers which might be collaborating – and the few that are not – who’re the favorites for the title this time round? We’ve got generated a match forecast utilizing Elo ratings sourced from Tennis Abstract to reply that query.

Word: The lacking Elo scores have been assumed to be 1500.

Quarter-wise forecast for US Open 2021

1st quarter

If a participant has received the primary three Slams of the season, few would guess towards him profitable the fourth – particularly if he’s a 20-time Main champion taking part in on his favourite floor. Novak Djokovic is the unsurprising favourite from the primary quarter of the draw.

However the Serb hasn’t had probably the most promising lead-up to New York. Consecutive losses within the latter phases of the Olympics have been adopted by an injury-enforced layoff that noticed Djokovic miss the Toronto and Cincinnati Masters.

Maintaining apart his health points, the 34-year-old enters the US Open with an Elo ranking of 2094. No one else from his part even scores above 1900.

The favorites from the primary quarter to achieve the semis are:

1. (1) Novak Djokovic: 52.87%
2. (6) Matteo Berrettini: 6.86%
3. (10) Hubert Hurkacz: 6.05%
4. Marton Fucsovics: 5.86%

Creator’s predicted quarterfinal: Hubert Hurkacz def. Novak Djokovic

2nd quarter

Alexander Zverev headlines the second quarter of the draw. The German is at present driving his most spectacular streak of wins, having received the Olympic gold and the Cincinnati Masters in succession. And it isn’t merely by the variety of wins that he has impressed; he has additionally made individuals sit up and take discover by the standard of his performances.

Zverev has been hitting by opponents of the best pedigree over the past month or so. In the one two matches the place his again was towards the wall – towards Novak Djokovic at Tokyo and Stefanos Tsitsipas at Cincinnati – the 24-year-old took on the function of the aggressor to recover from the end line.

A finalist from final yr, Zverev enters this version of the US Open with an Elo ranking of 2062.

The favorites from the second quarter to achieve the semis are:

1. (4) Alexander Zverev: 43.34%
2. (9) Pablo Carreno Busta: 15.40%
3. (13) Jannik Sinner: 12.30%
4. (25) Karen Khachanov: 6.46%

Creator’s predicted quarterfinal: Alexander Zverev def. Pablo Carreno Busta

third quarter

The third quarter options the person with probably the most tour-level wins in 2021 – Stefanos Tsitsipas. The Greek sensation is placing collectively a career-defining season, to say the least. Had it not been for Novak Djokovic monopolizing the Slams, Tsitsipas could be main the Race to Turin.

Aftera stellar clay season, Tsitsipas struggled at Wimbledon and the Olympics. However the US Open sequence has helped the 23-year-old rediscover his consistency; he made the semifinals in each Toronto and Cincinnati.

Tsitsipas enters New York with an Elo rating of 2011. Nevertheless, he has Andrey Rublev respiratory down his neck.

The Russian has been supremely spectacular himself and is coming off a runner-up run at Cincinnati.

Furthermore, Rublev is dealing with a qualifier within the first spherical whose ranking has been assumed to be at 1500. On paper, subsequently, he’s the better favourite than Tsitsipas to make the ultimate 4 from the third quarter of the draw – regardless of having a barely decrease Elo ranking (1999) than the Greek.

The favorites from the third quarter to achieve the semis are:

1. (5) Andrey Rublev: 33.32%
2. (3) Stefanos Tsitsipas: 28.08%
3. Ugo Humbert: 6.94%
4. (12) Felix Auger-Aliassime: 6.70%

Creator’s predicted quarterfinal: Andrey Rublev def. Stefanos Tsitsipas

4th quarter

Second seed Daniil Medvedev is the undisputed favourite from the fourth quarter of the draw. Having received Toronto and made the semifinals at Cincinnati, the 25-year-old has earned probably the most factors from this yr’s US Open Sequence.

Medvedev’s hardcourt prowess wants no introduction. With an Elo rating of 2087, the Russian enters the US Open almost as a lot a favourite as Novak Djokovic himself.

A finalist in 2019 and a semifinalist final yr, Medvedev in all probability considers New York his favourite Grand Slam venue. He’s additionally the runner-up from this yr’s different hardcourt Main – the Australian Open.

Like Djokovic, Medvedev does not have any 1900+ rated gamers from his part of the draw both.

The favorites from the fourth quarter to achieve the semis are:

1. (2) Daniil Medvedev: 50.98%
2. (8) Casper Ruud: 11.34%
3. (19) John Isner: 7.78%
4. (15) Grigor Dimitrov: 5.26%

Creator’s predicted quarterfinal: Daniil Medvedev def. Casper Ruud

US Open 2021 semifinals and remaining forecast

From the highest half, the more than likely US Open finalists are:

1. (1) Novak Djokovic: 36.22%
2. (4) Alexander Zverev: 26.81%
3. (9) Pablo Carreno Busta: 7.19%
4. (13) Jannik Sinner: 5.01%

Creator’s predicted semifinal: Alexander Zverev def. Hubert Hurkacz

From the underside half, the more than likely US Open finalists are:

1. (2) Daniil Medvedev: 35.91%
2. (5) Andrey Rublev: 18.56%
3. (3) Stefanos Tsitsipas: 16.05%
4. (8) Casper Ruud: 4.67%

Creator’s predicted semifinal: Daniil Medvedev def. Andrey Rublev

The more than likely champions for US Open 2021 are:

1. (1) Novak Djokovic: 36.22%
2. (2) Daniil Medvedev: 35.91%
3. (4) Alexander Zverev: 26.81%
4. (5) Andrey Rublev: 18.56%
5. (3) Stefanos Tsitsipas: 16.05%
6. (9) Pablo Carreno Busta: 7.19%
7. (13) Jannik Sinner: 5.01%
8. (8) Casper Ruud: 4.67%

Creator’s predicted remaining: Daniil Medvedev def. Alexander Zverev