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With Zero-RB truthers turning into all the fad not too long ago, it’s a very good time to think about difficult that mind set on draft day. Many instances we will achieve an edge by selecting to zig when the remainder of the room zags.
For this train, we are going to take a look at a PPR roster that drafted a operating again with its first 5 picks utilizing the FantasyPros mock draft instrument. This can be a sturdy operating again roster development and one which I’ve not explored earlier than writing this text. Just a few issues caught out:
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- The ground on this workforce is admittedly excessive. My first 5 picks have been Alvin Kamara, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, David Montgomery, Miles Sanders, and Darrell Henderson. In a PPR league, I’m nearly assured to have between 60-70 touches with my two operating backs and flex place. 4 of the 5 operating backs I drafted have a reasonably safe function of their respective workforce’s passing sport, with Montgomery being the lone exception to that rule.
- By Spherical 6, the receiver pool wasn’t utterly barren, however you’ll must determine your mid-to-late spherical targets for this roster to work. Getting JuJu Smith-Schuster within the sixth Spherical might be an excessive amount of of a ground decide in hindsight, however I adopted that up with Robbie Anderson, DeVonta Smith, and Darnell Mooney. These are three gamers who ought to have an incredible weekly ceiling and, mixed with the PPR goodness of Kamara, ought to anchor the workforce.
- In case you are drafting with individuals who you recognize are intentional about their Zero-RB technique, this may be a enjoyable solution to draft. Your WR pool can be drained, however you may be getting some nice operating again worth picks within the 2nd by means of 4th rounds that may offer you a roster with three RB1’s.
I picked in the course of the draft (decide 5), and right here is the best development in my thoughts:
1st Spherical
Take a operating again who’s going to be energetic within the passing sport whereas additionally possessing a Purple Zone function. Kamara was an ideal match right here, however Ezekiel Elliott, Najee Harris, Saquon Barkley, and Austin Ekeler would additionally work.
2nd Spherical
The three backs I’m focusing on listed below are Edwards-Helaire, Antonio Gibson, and Joe Mixon. All three of those backs ought to have a three-down function in offenses that may stand up and down the sector.
third Spherical by means of fifth Spherical
That is the operating again lifeless zone, so there’s a good likelihood two of your 4 picks are going to flop. What I’m in search of listed below are operating backs who I can fairly challenge for 20 touches every week irrespective of how they get them. Montgomery, Sanders, Henderson, Mike Davis, and Miles Gaskin are all guys I might goal.
Working Backs I averted
Chris Carson, Travis Etienne, J.K. Dobbins, Josh Jacobs
I like Carson, however his well being is a priority, and the unpredictability of the Seahawks’ offense makes him a tough promote within the 4th Spherical of a robust-running again development. Etienne and Dobbins may pop, and it wouldn’t shock me if one of many two ended up as a high-end RB2, however there are paths to failure right here as nicely. Dobbins is an immense expertise, however Gus Edwards nonetheless has a job, and Lamar Jackson may be the largest Purple Zone risk in Baltimore.
Etienne might find yourself being somebody I want I used to be chubby on, however as of now, I don’t have him on any rosters. I’ve seen sufficient of City Meyer to know he’ll use Etienne everywhere in the subject, however he nonetheless would possibly wrestle to get 15 touches every week. As for Jacobs, he’s far too game-script-dependent for me to hit the button on a sturdy operating again workforce.
sixth Spherical
I took JuJu Smith-Schuster right here in hopes that he can up his aDOT from final 12 months and, hopefully, recover from 1,000 yards. He’s nearly a lock for 90+ catches if he performs 16 video games, and within the sixth Spherical, I believe that may be a good ground for a WR1. I considered Jerry Jeudy right here, however Denver’s quarterback state of affairs is in some way extra shaky than Pittsburgh’s is.
seventh Spherical
Robbie Anderson was the decide right here, and he’s a sneaky good ground play with upside within the Panthers’ offense. I believe Anderson is a bonafide PPR WR2 which, at this stage within the roster’s development, is what we’re in search of. You’d be hard-pressed to do higher than Smith-Schuster and Anderson in a PPR format for an RB-heavy construct.
eighth -Twelfth Rounds
So as, I went Devonta Smith, Ryan Tannehill, Darnell Mooney, Robert Tonyan, Tre’Quan Smith in these rounds. I’ve talked about the ceiling of Smith and Mooney, who’re two lid-lifters on the skin. The largest miss for me on this draft was not securing Antonio Brown, who I believe makes a wonderful goal on a roster like this. I gambled within the eighth Spherical taking Smith and hoped Brown can be there with my subsequent decide, and he wasn’t.
Womp womp.
Aside from that, there aren’t many gamers who I noticed as “needs” that I wasn’t capable of get. Tonyan is considered one of a bunch of tight ends who’re within the TE8-TE14 vary that might find yourself within the top-5 on the place. Within the eleventh Spherical, I’m comfortable to get a bit of Inexperienced Bay’s offense, and you have to be as nicely. Tre’Quan Smith is a barely speculative play with Michael Thomas being injured, however I can churn that roster spot with out shedding sleep.
Ultimate Overview
I went into this hating the concept of a sturdy RB construct as a result of most all the things I’ve learn makes it look like a -EV approach of constructing a fantasy workforce. This was an train in me going towards my intuition with a typical draft technique as I’m not a fan of Zero-RB or a sturdy RB construct. I are inclined to draft with extra stability in thoughts s which could make me the vanilla ice cream of fantasy analysts.
This text made me notice that, whereas there’s loads of threat in investing in fantasy’s most injury-prone place, there’s additionally loads of built-in safety in drafting 5 operating backs who all have locked-in workloads. Accidents to operating backs that happen in camp (or, within the case of Cam Akers, simply earlier than camp) derail some groups earlier than the season even begins. As we transfer nearer to the season, it could stand to motive that this kind of construct can be barely much less dangerous main as much as Week 1.
Within the occasion you select to go RB-heavy, there’s loads of peace of thoughts that comes with a roster like this one. It does take an in-depth information of the receiver place since you run the chance of hanging your self out to dry there. Nevertheless, the RB-heavy construct does supply loads of safety with the possibility to chase upside later within the draft.
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Jason Kamlowsky is a featured author at FantasyPros. For extra from Jason, try his archive and comply with him on Twitter @JasonKamlowsky.
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