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Patrick Mahomes is on a historic tempo amongst NFL quarterbacks, setting quite a few data all through a participant’s first 46 begins as he has been redefining the place. A Tremendous Bowl victory would put Mahomes in his personal stratosphere amongst NFL quarterbacks, as he would grow to be the youngest quarterback to win two Tremendous Bowls and he would be a part of Tom Brady as the one quarterbacks to win two Tremendous Bowls of their first 4 seasons within the league.
For Mahomes to win his second Super Bowl, he has to defeat Brady — the best quarterback of all time. Brady has all of the data amongst NFL quarterbacks in relation to Tremendous Bowls, however the Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback is also the league’s all-time chief in passing touchdowns and quarterback wins — together with rating within the high three in lots of different classes.
Mahomes can catch Brady if he continues this historic tempo for over a decade, whereas racking up the Tremendous Bowl championships within the course of. The “child GOAT” has plenty of work to perform so as to catch Brady, although all of Brady’s data are reachable for a participant as proficient as Mahomes.
Tremendous Bowl LV is sort of right here, and you may watch it without cost on the CBS Sports App.
On this Tremendous Bowl version of “By The Numbers,” we’re looking at what Mahomes really has to do so as to catch Brady.
Mahomes stats vs. Brady’s stats (profession)
Passing yards per recreation
- Brady — 263.1
- Mahomes — 307.7
Landing passes per recreation
- Brady — 1.93
- Mahomes — 2.48
Wins per season
- Brady — 12.05
- Mahomes — 12.33
Yards Per Try
- Brady — 7.5
- Mahomes — 8.4
Passer Score
- Brady — 97.3
- Mahomes — 108.7
Mahomes is shattering Brady’s tempo by way of the primary 46 video games of his profession, however what number of video games does he want to really catch the GOAT in passing touchdowns and passing yards? We will hold the 16-game season in place (for now), as Brady is the NFL’s all-time chief in passing touchdowns (581) and second in passing yards (79,204).
Mahomes is already at 114 landing passes for his profession and is at a 2.48 landing per recreation tempo. If Brady would not broaden his whole (he’ll), Mahomes is 467 behind Brady on the all-time listing. Mahomes will want 188 video games to match Brady’s whole, reaching the feat 12 years from now. He might be 37 when he will get to 581, besting Brady’s mark by six years. Mahomes averages 38 landing passes a season whereas Brady averages 30.6.
Brady can be the NFL’s chief in wins (230) and can proceed so as to add to that whole so long as he retains enjoying. For Mahomes to catch Brady in victories, he’ll catch Brady in the course of his fifteenth season — on the age of 40. That file appears unattainable on Mahomes’ present tempo — and he’ll have to really play till he is 40. If Andy Reid sticks across the majority of that point, Mahomes has a shot.
Drew Brees is the league’s all-time chief in passing yards (80,358) whereas Brady is second (79,204). Mahomes is 66,202 yards behind Brees and can catch him in 215 video games — or by the point he is 38. How lengthy will it take for Mahomes to catch Brady? Additionally by the point he is 38, however in 4 fewer video games (211 to catch Brady and 215 to catch Brees at his present tempo).
Mahomes stats vs. Brady’s stats (postseason)
Tremendous Bowl wins
Tremendous Bowl appearances
Tremendous Bowl MVPs
Cross touchdowns
Cross yards per recreation
- Brady — 278.4
- Mahomes — 293.4
Playoff wins
Brady has made 10 Tremendous Bowls in his 21 seasons, or 47.6% of his profession. Mahomes has made two Tremendous Bowls in his 4 seasons, or 50% of his profession. Brady has gained Tremendous Bowls in six of his 20 seasons, or 30% of his profession (Mahomes is at 33.3%) — not counting Tremendous Bowl LV outcomes but. If Mahomes wins Tremendous Bowl LV at his present tempo (two titles in 4 years), he’ll get his sixth Tremendous Bowl by age 33.
Mahomes might want to play 34 extra playoff video games to catch Brady’s passing yards whole of 12,248 (once more Brady might be including to this whole — similar as Mahomes). He’ll want 26 playoff video games to catch Brady’s 80 landing passes (2.43 landing per recreation tempo). At his 2.67 playoff video games per full season tempo, Mahomes will catch Brady’s mark in passing yards by the age of 37 and passing touchdowns mark by 34.
The Kansas City Chiefs should make the postseason (and win playoff video games) in oder for Mahomes to have a shot to catch Brady, however that should not be an issue with the best way Mahomes has performed to begin his profession. The “child GOAT” actually has an opportunity to catch the “GOAT” in due time. Extra wins and extra championships will definitely assist Mahomes high Brady as the best ever.
For reference, let’s examine the place Mahomes ranks by way of his first 46 begins in comparison with everybody else to finish this dialogue.
Most passing yards (by way of first 46 begins)
- Patrick Mahomes — 14,152
- Kurt Warner — 13,494
- Dan Marino — 12,651
Most passing touchdowns (by way of first 46 begins)
- Patrick Mahomes — 114
- Dan Marino — 107
- Kurt Warner — 99
Highest passer score (by way of first 46 begins)
- Patrick Mahomes — 108.7
- Kurt Warner — 100.6
- Aaron Rodgers — 99.5
Fewest interceptions (by way of first 46 begins)
- Patrick Mahomes — 24
- Aaron Rodgers — 30
- Steve Younger — 36
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