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Rebound (definition): get better in worth, quantity, or energy after a earlier lower or decline. I typically see the time period “rebound” conflated with “breakout.” To ensure that a participant to rebound, that participant has to have beforehand been good. In 2020, maybe the most important rebound participant was Stefon Diggs, who adopted up a dismal 2019 marketing campaign with an general WR3 end. After we search for rebound candidates, these are the kind of gamers we’re concentrating on – gamers that had been good previous to the down season.
Whereas this may occasionally seem to be some filler offseason article, figuring out rebound gamers doesn’t get sufficient credit score for the worth it will possibly have for fantasy groups. Sometimes, rebound candidates are underpriced resulting from recency bias and the worry that the down season was not simply an aberration, however the begin of a pattern.
On condition that it’s only February, the main focus proper now could be on figuring out gamers more likely to rebound in 2021. As we get deeper into the pre-draft course of and nearer to August and September, ADP will dictate whether or not the rebound candidates present a possibility for worth.
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Do not Depend On a Comeback
Earlier than we get into the gamers with an opportunity to bounce again this season, I need to spotlight some names you will not discover on this listing.
Julio Jones (WR, ATL): Whereas an general WR14 end is not horrible, Julio Jones is 32 years previous and performed in simply 9 video games final season. It would not be a complete shock if he rebounded in 2021, however I am betting in opposition to a 32-year-old participant who has battled nagging accidents all through his profession that appear to lastly be costing him precise video games as he ages.
Odell Beckham Jr. (WR, CLE): There are approach too many points with Odell Beckham. He’ll most likely be a “worth” to the extent that he does not price a lot, however he should still price greater than he ought to due to his identify. The very fact is Beckham has been harm in three of his final 4 seasons and the one yr he performed each sport (2019), he was barely a WR3. We additionally do not know the place he will play this season.
James Conner (RB, PIT): As of now, James Conner is technically nonetheless the lead again for the Steelers. Conner was wonderful in 2018 throughout Le’Veon Bell‘s sabbatical. Aside from that, he hasn’t been good. He is a replacement-level expertise that has been persistently outplayed by different members of his backfield since 2018. He was good precisely one yr. I would be shocked if he ever actually mattered once more.
Cam Newton (QB, NE): I’ve seen sufficient. It is over for Cam Newton.
2021 Rebound Candidates
Dak Prescott (QB, DAL)
I’ll hold this brief and candy as a result of Dak Prescott is not actually a rebound candidate. I doubt Prescott will include a reduction resulting from his damage as he might be absolutely cleared in time for coaching camp. Prescott was the general QB1 earlier than he broke his ankle. If he stays wholesome in 2021, and now we have no motive to assume he will not, he is certain to be top-six on the place.
Saquon Barkley (RB, NYG)
I will keep away from spending an excessive amount of time on the injured gamers. Saquon Barkley is a top-five decide and nonetheless a generational expertise. All he must do to rebound is keep wholesome.
Ezekiel Elliott (RB, DAL)
I spent plenty of time on Twitter blasting Ezekiel Elliott and proclaiming Tony Pollard the superior working again. I stand by these statements. Nevertheless, my job is not to let you know who is healthier at soccer – my job is to let you know who might be higher at fantasy soccer. So long as Zeke is a Cowboy and Jerry Jones is the proprietor, the crew goes to feed Zeke. Whereas Elliott objectively performed poorly in 2020, between the fumbles, the shortage of splash performs (1.6% breakaway run fee), and the general pathetic 0.7 fantasy factors per alternative, he nonetheless commanded a 75% snap share. After Pollard’s RB1 efficiency throughout the sport Zeke missed, upon his return, Zeke was proper again atop the backfield.
A lot of Elliott’s struggles may also be attributed to Dak Prescott’s damage. The Cowboys had probably the most prolific offense within the NFC over the primary month of the season. With Prescott again, defenses should worry the Cowboys’ passing sport extra, which opens up working lanes and there might be extra scoring alternatives. Elliott’s 15.4 ppg in 2020 was a career-low and even when he has misplaced a step, he’s nonetheless a lock to surpass that quantity if he and Prescott keep wholesome.
JuJu Smith-Schuster (WR, FA)
The chances of JuJu Smith-Schuster remaining in Pittsburgh are slim. He is included on this listing on the belief he might be taking part in some other place. Because the third-most gifted receiver on the Steelers, it could be robust for him to bounce again. Assuming JuJu leaves, he’ll possible go someplace the place he can theoretically lead his crew in targets. I do imagine JuJu shouldn’t be a real alpha WR1 and higher off being the WR2, however that does not preclude him from enhancing upon his low-end WR2 end from 2020.
Courtland Sutton (WR, DEN)
I do know I mentioned I wasn’t going to deal with gamers that had been injured, however Courtland Sutton is a particular case as a result of it looks as if the fantasy neighborhood has forgotten how good he was in 2019. Whereas Sutton was only a WR3, he flashed elite expertise and playmaking skill. He’s vastly superior to Jerry Jeudy and, if wholesome, would be the unquestioned WR1 in Denver this season.
Their quarterback state of affairs stays a priority and that, mixed with Sutton’s well being and the overly rosy notion of Jeudy, seems to have set the stage for a closely discounted Sutton in 2021 fantasy drafts. Should you had been to make an inventory of large receivers which have “finest large receiver within the NFL” of their believable vary of outcomes, Sutton is on that listing. That is how good he’s. If Sutton performed a full 2020 season, my guess is he can be a 3rd or fourth-round decide in fantasy drafts. If you may get him any later than that, it’s best to pounce.
Kenny Golladay (WR, DET)
There are plenty of questions surrounding Kenny Golladay in 2021. Can he keep wholesome? What’s going to his chemistry be with new quarterback Jared Goff? Will Golladay even be on the Lions? One query we most definitely would not have, although, is about Golladay’s expertise. Golladay averaged simply 13.2 ppg in 5 video games in 2020. It was a totally misplaced season. However Golladay was a WR1 in 2019 and there isn’t any motive to assume he cannot return to that stage with a wholesome 2021.
Michael Thomas (WR, NO)
This one feels tutorial. Michael Thomas was outdoors the top-36 large receivers in 2020. No matter whether or not it is Taysom Hill or Jameis Winston at quarterback in 2021, there’s a 0% likelihood Thomas is that dangerous once more. He did not catch a landing in his seven video games performed. That additionally is not going to occur once more. Thomas will stay one of many first few large receivers off the board. He’s going to bounce again. The one query is how a lot? He is not going to include an damage or poor efficiency low cost.
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Make sure to additionally take a look at all of our different day by day fantasy football articles and evaluation that will help you set these profitable lineups, together with this new RotoBaller YouTube video:
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