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JuJu Smith-Schuster’s speedy ascent from second-round choose to an web and fantasy soccer sensation got here to an abrupt halt final season as a consequence of a pair of accidents. The primary was to Pittsburgh Steelers future Corridor of Fame quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, who went down with an elbow damage in Week 2 and by no means returned to motion. The second was to Smith-Schuster himself, as he suffered a concussion and a knee damage throughout a recreation that is now notorious for Cleveland Browns pass-rusher Myles Garrett ripping off the helmet of Steelers quarterback Mason Rudolph and whacking him on the top with it. Smith-Schuster missed 4 weeks of motion.
Between poor quarterback play from Rudolph and Devlin Hodges and Smith-Schuster lacking Weeks 12-15, 2019 was a misplaced season for the previous USC star. Can he bounce again in full pressure in 2020?
Let’s check out the place the over/beneath is ready at FanDuel Sportsbook for Smith-Schuster’s receiving yards this season:
FanDuel has basically used the 1,100-yard plateau because the benchmark right here. That is an enchanting quantity as a result of it is almost similar to Smith-Schuster’s profession common for yards-per-16-games. Smith-Schuster’s 2,895 receiving yards over 42 video games comes out to a mean of 68.93 yards per recreation or 1,102.86 yards per 16 video games.
Whereas it could appear straightforward to only consider whether or not you count on Smith-Schuster to achieve his profession common or not, there are different components that bettors ought to weigh closely. Listed here are the professionals and cons of every aspect:
Professionals for betting OVER; Cons for betting UNDER
The largest plus for Smith-Schuster this season is the return of a wholesome and pain-free Roethlisberger. Smith-Schuster is averaging 78.73 receiving yards per recreation in contests began by Roethlisberger since Week 2 of the large receiver’s rookie season (2017). That is a 16-game common of 1,259.73 receiving yards. Whilst unhealthy as issues have been final season, he was nonetheless on a 1,013-yard tempo via Week 8.
Smith-Schuster and Roethlisberger come again wholesome this season and so they return to a Steelers staff with extra polished offensive weapons than this time final yr. Diontae Johnson and James Washington proved they are often strong NFL contributors of their expanded roles, and the addition of Eric Ebron will draw appreciable consideration in the course of the sector. Smith-Schuster ought to simply transfer again into the slot position he had a lot success in again in 2018. Every part is organising for a significant bounce-back season for the uber-talented 23-year-old.
Professionals for betting UNDER; Cons for betting OVER
Other than the well being of his quarterback, Smith-Schuster’s damage historical past is the largest issue to contemplate when making a wager on this prop. He missed one recreation as a consequence of a hamstring damage his rookie season (and one other as a consequence of suspension). He performed all 16 video games in 2018 earlier than lacking the aforementioned 4 video games final season. So he is missed 5 video games as a consequence of damage (six whole) in his three-year profession.
The opposite extra particular concern is his head accidents. He is suffered three in three years within the NFL, two in his rookie season and one in 2019. It could be inappropriate the speculate concerning the severity or impact it might have on the younger receiver shifting ahead, however it’s one thing to concentrate on.
Preserve these numbers in thoughts: Smith-Schuster has averaged 68.93 yards per recreation in his profession (70.61 if you happen to do not depend Week 1 of his rookie season) and 78.73 yards per recreation when Roethlisberger begins. If he misses two video games in 2020, his profession common, he’d must common 78.57 yards per recreation to hit the over. If he misses 4 video games, like he did in 2019, he’d need to common 91.67 yards per recreation.
The opposite con is whether or not the distractions about his future in Pittsburgh maintain down his manufacturing. From AllSteelers reporter Donnie Druin:
“As much as this second, we all know little about Smith-Schuster’s place in Pittsburgh past 2020. We all know that Roethlisberger enjoys having Smith-Schuster to throw to, and we all know that the Steelers are keen to cater to Roethlisberger at this stage in his profession.
“Nevertheless, we additionally know that this league is a enterprise, each for participant and group. Smith-Schuster might show himself worthy of a brinks truck following the upcoming season, and might want prime greenback with a view to proceed sporting black and gold.”
Betting Recommendation: This is among the extra fascinating prop bets on the market due to the number of components bettors should contemplate. On a pure expertise foundation, this guess is a straightforward OVER. However Smith-Schuster’s damage historical past ought to give many pause earlier than making a wager. It is powerful to foretell accidents, however I will financial institution on Smith-Schuster lacking between 0-2 video games subsequent season. If he performs no less than 14 video games with Roethlisberger in 2020, he’ll get to 1,100 yards.
The Play: OVER 1,099.5 yards (-112)
ORE FROM SI GAMBLING:
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